Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Moscow win with a probability of 37.76%. A win for Sochi had a probability of 37.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Moscow win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.73%) and 0-2 (5.7%). The likeliest Sochi win was 2-1 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.