Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Moscow win with a probability of 54.32%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Ural Yekaterinburg had a probability of 22.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Moscow win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.76%) and 2-0 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.76%), while for a Ural Yekaterinburg win it was 1-2 (5.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Dynamo Moscow in this match.