Russian Premier League | Gameweek 12
Oct 22, 2023 at 10am UK
Ekaterinburg Arena

Ural
1 - 4
Sochi

Egorychev (38')
Ayupov (87')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Kravtsov (15'), Burmistrov (17'), Kramaric (34'), Ignatyev (88' pen.)
Dordevic (2')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Ural Yekaterinburg and Sochi.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ural 2-2 Lokomotiv
Saturday, October 7 at 10am in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Sochi 0-2 Zenit
Saturday, October 7 at 12pm in Russian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ural Yekaterinburg win with a probability of 55.6%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Sochi had a probability of 20.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ural Yekaterinburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.74%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.51%), while for a Sochi win it was 0-1 (6.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.

Result
Ural YekaterinburgDrawSochi
55.6% (1.329 1.33)24.33% (-0.659 -0.66)20.07% (-0.675 -0.68)
Both teams to score 47.84% (0.899 0.9)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.05% (1.701 1.7)52.95% (-1.705 -1.71)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.45% (1.431 1.43)74.55% (-1.434 -1.43)
Ural Yekaterinburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.06% (1.179 1.18)18.94% (-1.183 -1.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.55% (1.927 1.93)50.45% (-1.93 -1.93)
Sochi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.02% (0.253 0.25)40.98% (-0.257 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.46% (0.226 0.23)77.54% (-0.23 -0.23)
Score Analysis
    Ural Yekaterinburg 55.59%
    Sochi 20.07%
    Draw 24.32%
Ural YekaterinburgDrawSochi
1-0 @ 12.91% (-0.39 -0.39)
2-0 @ 10.74% (0.08 0.08)
2-1 @ 9.59% (0.136 0.14)
3-0 @ 5.96% (0.259 0.26)
3-1 @ 5.32% (0.266 0.27)
4-0 @ 2.48% (0.194 0.19)
3-2 @ 2.37% (0.134 0.13)
4-1 @ 2.21% (0.187 0.19)
4-2 @ 0.99% (0.09 0.09)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 55.59%
1-1 @ 11.51% (-0.27 -0.27)
0-0 @ 7.76% (-0.536 -0.54)
2-2 @ 4.28% (0.090000000000001 0.09)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 24.32%
0-1 @ 6.92% (-0.426 -0.43)
1-2 @ 5.14% (-0.081 -0.08)
0-2 @ 3.09% (-0.168 -0.17)
1-3 @ 1.53% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.27% (0.035 0.03)
0-3 @ 0.92% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 1.21%
Total : 20.07%

Head to Head
Jun 3, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 30
Ural
1-0
Sochi
Egorychev (89')
Kulakov (55')
Oct 30, 2022 11am
Gameweek 15
Sochi
2-2
Ural
Noboa (28' pen.), Sissako (76')
Gazinskiy (31'), Kashtanov (73' pen.)
Nov 27, 2021 11am
Gameweek 16
Ural
1-1
Sochi
Augustyniak (34')
Bicfalvi (27')
Noboa (68')
Terekhov (43'), Cassierra (47'), Barac (62')
Barac (74')
Aug 9, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 3
Sochi
2-0
Ural
Popov (9'), Noboa (71' pen.)
Burmistrov (60')

Miskic (64'), Gerasimov (70')
Nov 29, 2020 9am
Gameweek 16
Ural
1-0
Sochi
Yevseyev (86')
Kalinin (1'), Rykov (7'), Pomazun (90+3')

Terekhov (19'), Burmistrov (22'), Miladinovic (29'), Zabolotny (90+4')
Terekhov (45+2')