Russian Premier League | Gameweek 7
Sep 3, 2023 at 11am UK
Stadion Gazovik

Orenburg
3 - 0
Sochi

Mansilla (55' pen.), Obukhov (58'), Cuero (90+6' pen.)
Kaplenko (81')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Miladinovic (33'), Melkadze (35'), Yusupov (41'), Dordevic (47'), Batyrev (78')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Orenburg and Sochi.

Form, Standings, Stats

Orenburg

All competitions
Last Game: Orenburg 1-1 CSKA
Friday, August 25 at 3.30pm in Russian Premier League

Sochi

All competitions
Last Game: Sochi 0-1 Lokomotiv
Sunday, August 27 at 6pm in Russian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orenburg win with a probability of 44.99%. A win for Sochi had a probability of 30.16% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orenburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Sochi win was 0-1 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Orenburg would win this match.

Result
OrenburgDrawSochi
44.99% (1.481 1.48)24.85% (-0.296 -0.3)30.16% (-1.184 -1.18)
Both teams to score 56.25% (0.399 0.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.25% (0.789 0.79)46.75% (-0.788 -0.79)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.99% (0.734 0.73)69.01% (-0.73299999999999 -0.73)
Orenburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.17% (1.002 1)20.83% (-1 -1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.49% (1.547 1.55)53.51% (-1.545 -1.55)
Sochi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.05% (-0.399 -0.4)28.94% (0.4 0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.17% (-0.496 -0.5)64.83% (0.49799999999999 0.5)
Score Analysis
    Orenburg 44.99%
    Sochi 30.16%
    Draw 24.85%
OrenburgDrawSochi
1-0 @ 9.46% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.2% (0.15 0.15)
2-0 @ 7.42% (0.203 0.2)
3-1 @ 4.81% (0.22 0.22)
3-0 @ 3.88% (0.219 0.22)
3-2 @ 2.98% (0.104 0.1)
4-1 @ 1.89% (0.14 0.14)
4-0 @ 1.52% (0.128 0.13)
4-2 @ 1.17% (0.075 0.08)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 44.99%
1-1 @ 11.72% (-0.17 -0.17)
0-0 @ 6.03% (-0.202 -0.2)
2-2 @ 5.7% (0.031 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.23% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.85%
0-1 @ 7.48% (-0.337 -0.34)
1-2 @ 7.27% (-0.183 -0.18)
0-2 @ 4.64% (-0.263 -0.26)
1-3 @ 3% (-0.111 -0.11)
2-3 @ 2.36% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.92% (-0.132 -0.13)
1-4 @ 0.93% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 30.16%

Head to Head
Mar 10, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 19
Sochi
0-4
Orenburg
Kaplenko (45'), Noboa (50' og.), Basic (67'), Kavalyow (74')
Oct 1, 2022 12pm
Gameweek 11
Orenburg
4-1
Sochi
Ayupov (3'), Florentin (21'), Sychevoy (44' pen.), Marin (53' pen.)
Shipunov (69')
Mar 11, 2020 4.30pm
Gameweek 18
Sochi
5-1
Orenburg
Ayupov (24' og.), Kokorin (35' pen., 62'), Mostovoy (73'), Noboa (78')
Fameyeh (85')
Fameyeh (87')
Aug 16, 2019 4pm
Gameweek 6
Orenburg
1-1
Sochi
Kalugin (46' og.)
Ayupov (22'), Miskic (42'), Despotovic (84')
Poloz (68' pen.)
Novoseltsev (19'), Tsallagov (63'), Noboa (92')