Russian Premier League | Gameweek 4
Aug 12, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Stadion Gazovik
Krasnodar

Orenburg
0 - 2
Krasnodar

FT(HT: 0-0)
Spertsyan (67', 89' pen.)
Pantaleao (32'), Akhmetov (80')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Orenburg and FC Krasnodar.

Form, Standings, Stats

Orenburg

All competitions
Last Game: Orenburg 0-2 Ural
Saturday, August 5 at 3.30pm in Russian Premier League

FC Krasnodar

All competitions
Last Game: Krasnodar 1-0 Nizhny Novgorod
Friday, August 4 at 6pm in Russian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orenburg win with a probability of 40.28%. A win for FC Krasnodar had a probability of 36.64% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orenburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.33%) and 2-0 (5.33%). The likeliest FC Krasnodar win was 1-2 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
OrenburgDrawFC Krasnodar
40.28%23.08% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)36.64% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Both teams to score 64.93% (0.184 0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.66% (0.24 0.24)36.34% (-0.233 -0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.53% (0.26 0.26)58.47% (-0.254 -0.25)
Orenburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.42% (0.102 0.1)18.58% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.15% (0.169 0.17)49.85% (-0.162 -0.16)
FC Krasnodar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.75% (0.13200000000001 0.13)20.25% (-0.126 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.41% (0.208 0.21)52.59% (-0.201 -0.2)
Score Analysis
    Orenburg 40.28%
    FC Krasnodar 36.64%
    Draw 23.08%
OrenburgDrawFC Krasnodar
2-1 @ 8.51% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.33% (-0.053 -0.05)
2-0 @ 5.33% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.78% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.81% (0.022 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.99% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.01% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.61% (0.015 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.26% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 40.28%
1-1 @ 10.11% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-2 @ 6.8% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 3.76% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-3 @ 2.03% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 23.08%
1-2 @ 8.08% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
0-1 @ 6.01% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-2 @ 4.8% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
1-3 @ 4.3% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.62% (0.024 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.55% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.72% (0.012 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.44% (0.014 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.02% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 36.64%

Head to Head
Nov 13, 2022 11am
Gameweek 17
Orenburg
5-1
Krasnodar
Sychevoy (2', 29', 59'), Vera (23'), Marin (51')
Ionov (43')
Aug 21, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 6
Krasnodar
2-0
Orenburg
Ionov (28'), Cordoba (66')
Krivtsov (61'), Banjac (68')

Gojkovic (10'), Mansilla (40'), Ayupov (55')
Mansilla (56')
Jun 27, 2020 12pm
Gameweek 24
Orenburg
0-3
Krasnodar
Oct 27, 2019 4pm
Gameweek 14
Krasnodar
1-1
Orenburg
Fernandes (43')
Berg (80')
Despotovic (32')
Despotovic (19')
Mar 11, 2019 4.30pm
Gameweek 19
Krasnodar
2-2
Orenburg
Ari (63'), Skopintsev (73')
Pereyra (23'), Suleymanov (86')
Sutormin (41'), Oyewole (89')
Kozlov (72')