Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Krasnodar win with a probability of 39.92%. A win for CSKA Moscow had a probability of 33.66% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Krasnodar win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest CSKA Moscow win was 0-1 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.