Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fakel win with a probability of 43.37%. A win for Sochi had a probability of 28.95% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fakel win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest Sochi win was 0-1 (9.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fakel would win this match.

Result
Fakel	Draw	Sochi
43.37% ( -0.04)	27.68% ( -0.03)	28.95% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 46.91% (

0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.49% (

0.14)

58.51% (

-0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.91% (

0.11)

79.09% (

-0.11)

Fakel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.24% (

0.05)

26.76% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.97% (

0.06)

62.03% (

-0.06)

Sochi Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.05% (

0.13)

35.95% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.27% (

0.14)

72.73% (

-0.13)

Score Analysis

Fakel 43.37%

Sochi 28.95%

Draw 27.68%

Fakel	Draw	Sochi
1-0 @ 12.68% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 8.55% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.36% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.76% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.67% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.92% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.24% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.21% Other @ 1.97% Total : 43.37%	1-1 @ 12.97% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.62% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.38% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.71% Total : 27.68%	0-1 @ 9.84% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.64% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 5.03% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.26% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.96% Total : 28.95%