Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fakel win with a probability of 44%. A win for Nizhny Novgorod had a probability of 28.12% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fakel win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.62%) and 2-1 (8.53%). The likeliest Nizhny Novgorod win was 0-1 (9.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fakel would win this match.

Result
Fakel	Draw	Nizhny Novgorod
44% ( -0.05)	27.89% ( -0.05)	28.12% ( 0.1)

Both teams to score 45.9% (

0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.43% (

0.21)

59.57% (

-0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.09% (

0.16)

79.91% (

-0.16)

Fakel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.07% (

0.07)

26.93% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.74% (

0.1)

62.26% (

-0.1)

Nizhny Novgorod Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.81% (

0.2)

37.19% (

-0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.02% (

0.19)

73.98% (

-0.19)

Score Analysis

Fakel 44%

Nizhny Novgorod 28.12%

Draw 27.88%

Fakel	Draw	Nizhny Novgorod
1-0 @ 13.14% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 8.62% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.53% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.77% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.73% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.84% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.24% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.22% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.91% Total : 44%	1-1 @ 12.99% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.01% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 4.22% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.66% Total : 27.88%	0-1 @ 9.91% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.43% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 4.9% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.12% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.76% Total : 28.12%