Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rubin Kazan win with a probability of 43.09%. A draw had a probability of 29.3% and a win for Fakel had a probability of 27.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rubin Kazan win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.81%) and 1-2 (8.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.2%), while for a Fakel win it was 1-0 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Rubin Kazan in this match.