Fakel
Russian Premier League | Gameweek 9
Sep 25, 2023 at 5pm UK
Central'nyi Stadion Profsoyuzov

Fakel
0 - 1
Rubin Kazan


Kvekveskiri (46'), Yakimov (65'), Appaev (90+7'), Cele (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Vada (85')
Rahmonaliyev (41'), Daku (48'), Iwu (56'), Martynovich (90+7')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Fakel and Rubin Kazan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fakel

All competitions
Last Game: Ural 0-0 Fakel
Sunday, September 17 at 12pm in Russian Premier League

Rubin Kazan

All competitions
Last Game: Rubin Kazan 0-3 Zenit
Sunday, September 17 at 2.30pm in Russian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rubin Kazan win with a probability of 43.09%. A draw had a probability of 29.3% and a win for Fakel had a probability of 27.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rubin Kazan win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.81%) and 1-2 (8.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.2%), while for a Fakel win it was 1-0 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Rubin Kazan in this match.

Result
FakelDrawRubin Kazan
27.62% (-0.199 -0.2)29.28% (0.050999999999998 0.05)43.09% (0.146 0.15)
Both teams to score 42.02% (-0.234 -0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.7% (-0.236 -0.24)64.29% (0.23400000000001 0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.6% (-0.168 -0.17)83.39% (0.166 0.17)
Fakel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.76% (-0.303 -0.3)40.24% (0.302 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.13% (-0.276 -0.28)76.87% (0.274 0.27)
Rubin Kazan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.31% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)29.68% (0.034000000000002 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.26% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)65.74% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Fakel 27.62%
    Rubin Kazan 43.09%
    Draw 29.27%
FakelDrawRubin Kazan
1-0 @ 10.87% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 6.01% (-0.053 -0.05)
2-0 @ 4.95% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
3-1 @ 1.82% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-0 @ 1.5% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.11% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 1.35%
Total : 27.62%
1-1 @ 13.2% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 11.94% (0.1 0.1)
2-2 @ 3.65% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 29.27%
0-1 @ 14.5% (0.11 0.11)
0-2 @ 8.81% (0.059000000000001 0.06)
1-2 @ 8.02% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.57% (0.021 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.25% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.48% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.08% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 0.99% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 1.39%
Total : 43.09%

How you voted: Fakel vs Rubin Kazan

Fakel
40.0%
Draw
40.0%
Rubin Kazan
20.0%
5