Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Moscow win with a probability of 61.61%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Fakel had a probability of 16.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.85%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.16%), while for a Fakel win it was 0-1 (5.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.