Russian Premier League | Gameweek 9

Sep 24, 2023 at 12pm UK

Stade Municipal 1

Nizhny Novgorod
3 - 1
Orenburg

Correia (45'), Sevikyan (53'), Boselli (75')
Stamatov (56'), Aleksandrov (70'), Maiga (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Perez (28')
Kavalyow (73')

Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Nizhny Novgorod and Orenburg.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nizhny Novgorod

All competitions

Last Game: Dynamo Moscow 1-1 Nizhny Novgorod
Friday, September 15 at 5pm in Russian Premier League

Goals
for

Orenburg

All competitions

Last Game: Lokomotiv 0-2 Orenburg
Sunday, September 17 at 5pm in Russian Premier League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orenburg win with a probability of 37.73%. A win for Nizhny Novgorod had a probability of 35.55% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orenburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.23%) and 0-2 (6.59%). The likeliest Nizhny Novgorod win was 1-0 (9.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result
Nizhny Novgorod	Draw	Orenburg
35.55% ( -0.46)	26.72% ( 0.13)	37.73% ( 0.33)

Both teams to score 51.78% (

-0.44)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.74% (

-0.54)

53.26% (

0.54)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.18% (

-0.46)

74.81% (

0.46)

Nizhny Novgorod Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.31% (

-0.54)

28.68% (

0.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.49% (

-0.68)

64.5% (

0.68)

Orenburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.61% (

-0.06)

27.39% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.14% (

-0.08)

62.85% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

Nizhny Novgorod 35.55%

Orenburg 37.73%

Draw 26.72%

Nizhny Novgorod	Draw	Orenburg
1-0 @ 9.81% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 7.93% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 6.13% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 3.3% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 2.55% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.14% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 1.03% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.65% Total : 35.55%	1-1 @ 12.7% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 7.86% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 5.14% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.72%	0-1 @ 10.17% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 8.23% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 6.59% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 3.55% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.84% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.15% ( -0) 0-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.06% Total : 37.73%