Russian Premier League | Gameweek 8

Sep 17, 2023 at 5pm UK

RZD Arena

Lokomotiv
0 - 2
Orenburg

FT(HT: 0-0)

Basic (84'), Vorobyev (90+4')
Gojkovic (88'), Vorobyev (90+5')

Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Lokomotiv Moscow and Orenburg.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lokomotiv Moscow

All competitions

Last Game: Lokomotiv 3-2 Baltika
Sunday, September 3 at 1.15pm in Russian Premier League

Goals
for

Orenburg

All competitions

Last Game: Orenburg 3-0 Sochi
Sunday, September 3 at 11am in Russian Premier League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lokomotiv Moscow win with a probability of 51.83%. A win for Orenburg had a probability of 25.24% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lokomotiv Moscow win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.79%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Orenburg win was 1-2 (6.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.

Result
Lokomotiv Moscow	Draw	Orenburg
51.83% ( 0.43)	22.94% ( -0.07)	25.24% ( -0.36)

Both teams to score 58.84% (

-0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.44% (

-0.01)

41.57% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.04% (

-0.01)

63.97% (

0.02)

Lokomotiv Moscow Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.89% (

0.15)

16.12% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.47% (

0.27)

45.54% (

-0.26)

Orenburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.14% (

-0.28)

29.86% (

0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.05% (

-0.35)

65.96% (

0.36)

Score Analysis

Lokomotiv Moscow 51.83%

Orenburg 25.24%

Draw 22.93%

Lokomotiv Moscow	Draw	Orenburg
2-1 @ 9.69% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 8.79% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 8.02% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 5.9% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 4.88% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 3.56% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.69% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 2.23% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.63% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 0.98% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.48% Total : 51.83%	1-1 @ 10.61% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.86% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 4.81% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.22% Total : 22.93%	1-2 @ 6.42% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 5.82% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 3.52% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.13% Total : 25.24%