Russian Premier League | Gameweek 18
Dec 10, 2023 at 4.45pm UK
Baltika Stadium

Baltika
0 - 1
Rubin Kazan


Radmanovac (18'), Kuzmin (23')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Daku (7', 7')
Gritsaenko (37')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Baltika and Rubin Kazan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fakel 0-0 Baltika
Saturday, December 2 at 11am in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Dynamo Moscow 1-0 Rubin Kazan
Monday, December 4 at 4.30pm in Russian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rubin Kazan win with a probability of 35.94%. A win for Baltika had a probability of 35.2% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rubin Kazan win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.52%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest Baltika win was 1-0 (11.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Rubin Kazan in this match.

Result
BaltikaDrawRubin Kazan
35.2% (0.064999999999998 0.06)28.85% (0.0019999999999989 0)35.94% (-0.067 -0.07)
Both teams to score 45.29% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.68% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)61.32% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.76% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)81.24% (0.0080000000000098 0.01)
Baltika Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.05% (0.040999999999997 0.04)32.95% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.47% (0.045000000000002 0.05)69.53% (-0.042999999999992 -0.04)
Rubin Kazan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.54% (-0.045999999999992 -0.05)32.46% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.01% (-0.053999999999998 -0.05)68.99% (0.054999999999993 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Baltika 35.2%
    Rubin Kazan 35.94%
    Draw 28.85%
BaltikaDrawRubin Kazan
1-0 @ 11.87% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 7.42% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.59% (0.016 0.02)
3-1 @ 2.75% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.44% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.54% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 35.2%
1-1 @ 13.36% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 10.69%
2-2 @ 4.17% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 28.85%
0-1 @ 12.03% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.52% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.77% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.82% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.54% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.57% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 35.94%

Head to Head
Oct 27, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 13
Rubin Kazan
1-0
Baltika
Vada (88')
Kabutov (44')

Gassama (9'), Radmanovac (54'), Ignashevich (87'), Soto (89'), Guzina (90+2')