Krasnodar
Russian Premier League | Gameweek 21
Apr 24, 2024 at 6.30pm UK
Stadion FK Krasnodar

Krasnodar
3 - 2
Baltika

Cordoba (31', 61'), Spertsyan (50')
Olusegun (81')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Kozlov (57', 89')
Lisakovich (42'), Kuzmin (55')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between FC Krasnodar and Baltika.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Krasnodar

All competitions
Last Game: Krasnodar 2-0 Fakel
Friday, April 19 at 5pm in Russian Premier League

Baltika

All competitions
Last Game: Baltika 2-1 Krylia Sovetov
Saturday, April 20 at 2.30pm in Russian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Krasnodar win with a probability of 58.5%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Baltika had a probability of 17.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Krasnodar win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.48%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.13%), while for a Baltika win it was 0-1 (6.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Krasnodar would win this match.

Result
FC KrasnodarDrawBaltika
58.5% (0.036999999999999 0.04)23.56% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)17.93% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Both teams to score 46.6% (-0.050000000000004 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.24% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)52.76% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.61% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)74.39% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
FC Krasnodar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.21% (0.00099999999999056 0)17.78% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.5% (0.00099999999999767 0)48.49% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Baltika Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.68% (-0.064 -0.06)43.31% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.44% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)79.55% (0.052000000000007 0.05)
Score Analysis
    FC Krasnodar 58.5%
    Baltika 17.93%
    Draw 23.56%
FC KrasnodarDrawBaltika
1-0 @ 13.3% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 11.48% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.61% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 6.61% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.53% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 2.85% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 2.39% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.31% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1% (-0.0019999999999999 -0)
5-0 @ 0.99% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 58.5%
1-1 @ 11.13%
0-0 @ 7.7% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.02% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 23.56%
0-1 @ 6.45% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-2 @ 4.66% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.7% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 1.3% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.12% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 17.93%

Head to Head
Oct 21, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 12
Baltika
2-2
Krasnodar
Kuzmin (23'), Henriquez (36')
Ostojic (22'), Soto (45'), Guzina (55')
Cordoba (17'), Spertsyan (61' pen.)
Bachi (45')