Russian Premier League | Gameweek 23

Apr 6, 2024 at 2.30pm UK

Stade Municipal 1

Nizhny Novgorod
3 - 4
Krasnodar

Kalinsky (34'), Troshechkin (40'), Kukharchuk (87')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Glushchenkov (8' og.), Cordoba (13', 71'), Spertsyan (79')
Chernikov (47'), Bachi (57')

Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Nizhny Novgorod and FC Krasnodar.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nizhny Novgorod

All competitions

Last Game: Baltika 2-0 Nizhny Novgorod
Saturday, March 30 at 2.30pm in Russian Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

FC Krasnodar

All competitions

Last Game: Lokomotiv 1-1 Krasnodar
Sunday, March 31 at 5.30pm in Russian Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Krasnodar win with a probability of 42.98%. A win for Nizhny Novgorod had a probability of 30% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Krasnodar win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (7.99%). The likeliest Nizhny Novgorod win was 1-0 (9.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Krasnodar would win this match.

Result
Nizhny Novgorod	Draw	FC Krasnodar
30% ( 0.33)	27.01% ( -0.13)	42.98% ( -0.21)

Both teams to score 49.35% (

0.54)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.34% (

0.61)

55.66% (

-0.62)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.19% (

0.49)

76.81% (

-0.5)

Nizhny Novgorod Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.37% (

0.57)

33.63% (

-0.57)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.72% (

0.62)

70.28% (

-0.62)

FC Krasnodar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.35% (

0.17)

25.65% (

-0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.45% (

0.23)

60.55% (

-0.24)

Score Analysis

Nizhny Novgorod 30%

FC Krasnodar 42.98%

Draw 27.01%

Nizhny Novgorod	Draw	FC Krasnodar
1-0 @ 9.4% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 6.97% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 5.12% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 2.53% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 1.86% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.72% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.39% Total : 30%	1-1 @ 12.79% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 8.62% ( -0.21) 2-2 @ 4.74% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.86% Total : 27.01%	0-1 @ 11.73% ( -0.22) 1-2 @ 8.7% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 7.99% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 3.95% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 3.62% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 1.34% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.27% Total : 42.98%