Russian Premier League | Gameweek 16
Nov 26, 2023 at 11am UK
Ekaterinburg Arena
Krasnodar

Ural
3 - 1
Krasnodar

Emmerson (30'), Egorychev (59'), Kashtanov (86')
Schettine (44')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Cordoba (21')
Chernikov (2'), Ivic (3'), Spertsyan (45+7'), Olusegun (68'), Kady (90+4')
Cordoba (90+6')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Ural Yekaterinburg and FC Krasnodar.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Krylia Sovetov 3-1 Ural
Saturday, November 11 at 11am in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Zenit 1-1 Krasnodar
Saturday, November 11 at 4.30pm in Russian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ural Yekaterinburg win with a probability of 38.1%. A win for FC Krasnodar had a probability of 36.16% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ural Yekaterinburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (6.29%). The likeliest FC Krasnodar win was 0-1 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ural Yekaterinburg would win this match.

Result
Ural YekaterinburgDrawFC Krasnodar
38.1% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)25.73% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)36.16% (0.061 0.06)
Both teams to score 55.14% (0.174 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51% (0.21899999999999 0.22)49% (-0.223 -0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.91% (0.197 0.2)71.08% (-0.20099999999999 -0.2)
Ural Yekaterinburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.8% (0.094000000000008 0.09)25.19% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.07% (0.129 0.13)59.93% (-0.133 -0.13)
FC Krasnodar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.71% (0.13800000000001 0.14)26.28% (-0.142 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.6% (0.184 0.18)61.4% (-0.188 -0.19)
Score Analysis
    Ural Yekaterinburg 38.1%
    FC Krasnodar 36.16%
    Draw 25.72%
Ural YekaterinburgDrawFC Krasnodar
1-0 @ 9.13% (-0.058 -0.06)
2-1 @ 8.41% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 6.29% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.86% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.89% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.58% (0.018 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.33% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 1% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 38.1%
1-1 @ 12.19% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.62% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.62% (0.025 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.15% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.72%
0-1 @ 8.85% (-0.045 -0.04)
1-2 @ 8.15% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.91% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.63% (0.02 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.63% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.5% (0.021 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.21% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 36.16%

Head to Head
Sep 24, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 9
Krasnodar
2-0
Ural
Filipenko (53' og.), Pina (73')
Kady (66'), Chernikov (81')

Miskic (70')
Apr 29, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 25
Krasnodar
1-1
Ural
Pina (13')
Yushin (39')
Jul 29, 2022 4pm
Gameweek 3
Ural
1-3
Krasnodar
Kashtanov (90+1')
Konovalov (33'), Gerasimov (58'), Miskic (67')
Borodin (28'), Spertsyan (59', 74')
Yakimov (51')
Mar 7, 2022 11am
Gameweek 20
Krasnodar
2-1
Ural
Spertsyan (59' pen.), Ilyin (65')
Sorokin (86')
Bicfalvi (79')
Gerasimov (75')
Jul 25, 2021 3.30pm
Gameweek 1
Ural
0-3
Krasnodar

Bicfalvi (60'), Gerasimov (77')
Vilhena (62', 85'), Cordoba (90+5' pen.)
Spertsyan (53'), Chernikov (89')