Nizhny Novgorod

1 - 4

Krasnodar

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Krasnodar win with a probability of 56.17%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Nizhny Novgorod had a probability of 19.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Krasnodar win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.78%) and 1-2 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.4%), while for a Nizhny Novgorod win it was 1-0 (6.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Krasnodar would win this match.