Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 45.57%. A win for Spartak Moscow had a probability of 29.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Spartak Moscow win was 0-1 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.