Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Moscow win with a probability of 41.27%. A win for Spartak Moscow had a probability of 34.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Moscow win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.17%) and 2-0 (6.33%). The likeliest Spartak Moscow win was 1-2 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.