Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 60.64%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for CSKA Moscow had a probability of 17.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.62%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.28%), while for a CSKA Moscow win it was 0-1 (5.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.