Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 55.31%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Nizhny Novgorod had a probability of 20.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.69%) and 1-2 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%), while for a Nizhny Novgorod win it was 1-0 (6.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.