Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 54.11%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Ural Yekaterinburg had a probability of 20.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.69%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.82%), while for a Ural Yekaterinburg win it was 0-1 (7.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CSKA Moscow would win this match.