Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ural Yekaterinburg win with a probability of 41.01%. A win for Rostov had a probability of 31.3% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ural Yekaterinburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Rostov win was 0-1 (10.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.