Russian Premier League | Gameweek 27
May 6, 2024 at 1.45pm UK
Ekaterinburg Arena

Ural
2 - 1
Baltika

Kashtanov (19' pen.), Ionov (90+5')
Ionov (77')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Lisakovich (1')
Ionov (90+8')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Ural Yekaterinburg and Baltika.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ural Yekaterinburg

All competitions
Last Game: Rubin Kazan 1-1 Ural
Monday, April 29 at 1.15pm in Russian Premier League

Baltika

All competitions
Last Game: Baltika 3-1 CSKA
Sunday, April 28 at 7.30pm in Russian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ural Yekaterinburg win with a probability of 44%. A win for Baltika had a probability of 28.13% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ural Yekaterinburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.61%) and 2-1 (8.53%). The likeliest Baltika win was 0-1 (9.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ural Yekaterinburg would win this match.

Result
Ural YekaterinburgDrawBaltika
44% (-0.564 -0.56)27.86% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)28.13% (0.611 0.61)
Both teams to score 45.97% (0.493 0.49)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.51% (0.441 0.44)59.49% (-0.439 -0.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.15% (0.337 0.34)79.85% (-0.33600000000001 -0.34)
Ural Yekaterinburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.12% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)26.88% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.8% (-0.113 -0.11)62.2% (0.115 0.12)
Baltika Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.86% (0.747 0.75)37.13% (-0.745 -0.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.08% (0.733 0.73)73.92% (-0.73 -0.73)
Score Analysis
    Ural Yekaterinburg 44%
    Baltika 28.13%
    Draw 27.86%
Ural YekaterinburgDrawBaltika
1-0 @ 13.11% (-0.25 -0.25)
2-0 @ 8.61% (-0.188 -0.19)
2-1 @ 8.53% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.77% (-0.092 -0.09)
3-1 @ 3.74% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.85% (0.03 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.24% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.23% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 44%
1-1 @ 12.99% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 9.98% (-0.157 -0.16)
2-2 @ 4.23% (0.079 0.08)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 27.86%
0-1 @ 9.89% (0.036 0.04)
1-2 @ 6.44% (0.137 0.14)
0-2 @ 4.9% (0.116 0.12)
1-3 @ 2.13% (0.087 0.09)
0-3 @ 1.62% (0.07 0.07)
2-3 @ 1.4% (0.054 0.05)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 28.13%

Head to Head
Aug 19, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 5
Baltika
0-1
Ural

Pryakhin (89')
Kashtanov (49' pen.)