Russian Premier League | Gameweek 28

May 12, 2024 at 12pm UK

Stadion Gazovik

Orenburg
0 - 2
Lokomotiv

Florentin (54'), Barinov (75')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Batrakov (8'), Silyanov (62')
Morozov (28'), Deogracia (36'), Perez (75'), Batrakov (86')

Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Orenburg and Lokomotiv Moscow.

Form, Standings, Stats

Orenburg

All competitions

Last Game: Orenburg 2-1 Krylia Sovetov
Saturday, May 4 at 3pm in Russian Premier League

Goals
for

Lokomotiv Moscow

All competitions

Last Game: Lokomotiv 1-0 Rostov
Monday, May 6 at 6.30pm in Russian Premier League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orenburg win with a probability of 39.88%. A win for Lokomotiv Moscow had a probability of 35.2% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orenburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.47%) and 2-0 (6.28%). The likeliest Lokomotiv Moscow win was 1-2 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
Orenburg	Draw	Lokomotiv Moscow
39.88% ( 0.35)	24.92% ( -0.11)	35.2% ( -0.23)

Both teams to score 57.86% (

0.34)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.55% (

0.46)

45.45% (

-0.45)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.22% (

0.43)

67.78% (

-0.43)

Orenburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.32% (

0.38)

22.68% (

-0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.67% (

0.55)

56.33% (

-0.54)

Lokomotiv Moscow Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.84% (

0.08)

25.17% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.11% (

0.11)

59.89% (

-0.1)

Score Analysis

Orenburg 39.88%

Lokomotiv Moscow 35.2%

Draw 24.92%

Orenburg	Draw	Lokomotiv Moscow
2-1 @ 8.67% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 8.47% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 6.28% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.29% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 3.11% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.96% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.59% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.15% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.27% Total : 39.88%	1-1 @ 11.68% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.98% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.71% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.92%	1-2 @ 8.06% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 7.88% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 5.43% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 3.71% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.75% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.28% 2-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.66% Total : 35.2%