Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orenburg win with a probability of 39.95%. A win for Dynamo Moscow had a probability of 35.5% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Orenburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.03%) and 2-0 (6.11%). The likeliest Dynamo Moscow win was 1-2 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.