Fakel
Russian Premier League | Gameweek 22
Mar 31, 2024 at 12pm UK
Central'nyi Stadion Profsoyuzov

Fakel
0 - 0
Orenburg


Alshin (4'), Magal (49')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Mikhailov (29')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Fakel and Orenburg.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fakel

All competitions
Last Game: Spartak Moscow 0-2 Fakel
Sunday, March 10 at 4pm in Russian Premier League

Orenburg

All competitions
Last Game: Orenburg 1-0 Baltika
Sunday, March 10 at 11am in Russian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fakel win with a probability of 38.98%. A win for Orenburg had a probability of 33.82% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fakel win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Orenburg win was 0-1 (10.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.

Result
FakelDrawOrenburg
38.98% (-0.206 -0.21)27.2% (0.058000000000003 0.06)33.82% (0.148 0.15)
Both teams to score 50.04% (-0.154 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.64% (-0.207 -0.21)55.36% (0.207 0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.43% (-0.17 -0.17)76.57% (0.169 0.17)
Fakel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.33% (-0.215 -0.22)27.67% (0.215 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.78% (-0.277 -0.28)63.22% (0.277 0.28)
Orenburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.19% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)30.81% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.91% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)67.09% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Fakel 38.98%
    Orenburg 33.81%
    Draw 27.19%
FakelDrawOrenburg
1-0 @ 10.95% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.28% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-0 @ 7.04% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.55% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.01% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.09% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.14% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-0 @ 0.97% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 38.98%
1-1 @ 12.89% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 8.53% (0.068 0.07)
2-2 @ 4.88% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 27.19%
0-1 @ 10.03% (0.071 0.07)
1-2 @ 7.59% (0.012 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.91% (0.045 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.98% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 2.32% (0.017 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.91% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 33.81%

Head to Head
Oct 21, 2023 10am
Gameweek 12
Orenburg
1-2
Fakel
Vorobyev (76')
Basic (17'), Gojkovic (33'), Mansilla (63'), Sysuev (90')
Alshin (35'), Motpan (90+2')
Markov (45+3'), Masternoy (74')
Apr 22, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 24
Fakel
1-3
Orenburg
Gongadze (32' pen.)
Ektov (23'), Mansilla (45+5' pen.), Kaplenko (61')
Oct 28, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 15
Orenburg
4-1
Fakel
Marin (42', 44'), Florentin (57'), Mansilla (83' pen.)
Maksimov (86')