Fakel
Russian Premier League | Gameweek 15
Nov 11, 2023 at 11am UK
Central'nyi Stadion Profsoyuzov
CSKA Moscow

Fakel
1 - 1
CSKA

Bozhin (90+3')
Yakimov (83')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Davila (10')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Fakel and CSKA Moscow.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fakel

All competitions
Last Game: Akhmat Grozny 1-2 Fakel
Saturday, November 4 at 1.30pm in Russian Premier League

CSKA Moscow

All competitions
Last Game: CSKA 3-2 Nizhny Novgorod
Sunday, November 5 at 1.30pm in Russian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 48.58%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Fakel had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.35%) and 1-2 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.42%), while for a Fakel win it was 1-0 (8.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.

Result
FakelDrawCSKA Moscow
25.1% (-0.004999999999999 -0)26.32%48.58% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 48.04% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.29% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)55.72% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.14% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)76.86% (0.0039999999999907 0)
Fakel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.37% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)37.63% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.59% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)74.41% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
CSKA Moscow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.03% (0.0049999999999955 0)22.97% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.24% (0.0019999999999953 0)56.77%
Score Analysis
    Fakel 25.1%
    CSKA Moscow 48.58%
    Draw 26.31%
FakelDrawCSKA Moscow
1-0 @ 8.45%
2-1 @ 6.07% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 4.13% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 1.98% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.46% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 1.35% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 25.1%
1-1 @ 12.42%
0-0 @ 8.65% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-2 @ 4.47% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 26.31%
0-1 @ 12.71%
0-2 @ 9.35% (0.0019999999999989 0)
1-2 @ 9.14%
0-3 @ 4.58% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 4.48% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-3 @ 2.19%
0-4 @ 1.69% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.65%
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 48.58%

Head to Head
Apr 2, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 21
Fakel
0-2
CSKA
Chalov (21' pen.), Oblyakov (77')
Aug 6, 2022 3.30pm
Gameweek 4
CSKA
4-1
Fakel
Kuchayev (57'), Medina (70' pen.), Chalov (72'), Carrascal (83')
Mukhin (56'), (67')
Gongadze (42' pen.)
Gongadze (45+1')