Fakel
Russian Premier League | Gameweek 13
Oct 28, 2023 at 12pm UK
Central'nyi Stadion Profsoyuzov

Fakel
2 - 0
Spartak Moscow

Markov (71' pen.), Maksimov (83')
Bozhin (29')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Babic (35'), Duarte (67'), Umyarov (86')
Babic (70')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Fakel and Spartak Moscow.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fakel

All competitions
Last Game: Orenburg 1-2 Fakel
Saturday, October 21 at 10am in Russian Premier League

Spartak Moscow

All competitions
Last Game: Spartak Moscow 2-0 Nizhny Novgorod
Sunday, October 22 at 12pm in Russian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 49.22%. A win for Fakel had a probability of 26.02% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.49%) and 0-2 (8.6%). The likeliest Fakel win was 1-0 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.

Result
FakelDrawSpartak Moscow
26.02% (-0.245 -0.25)24.76% (0.004999999999999 0)49.22% (0.244 0.24)
Both teams to score 53.55% (-0.23699999999999 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.1% (-0.206 -0.21)48.9% (0.209 0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.01% (-0.187 -0.19)70.99% (0.191 0.19)
Fakel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.85% (-0.31 -0.31)33.15% (0.315 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.25% (-0.344 -0.34)69.75% (0.348 0.35)
Spartak Moscow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.1% (0.02000000000001 0.02)19.9% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.98% (0.029999999999994 0.03)52.02% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Fakel 26.02%
    Spartak Moscow 49.21%
    Draw 24.75%
FakelDrawSpartak Moscow
1-0 @ 7.28% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-1 @ 6.49% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-0 @ 4.02% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-1 @ 2.39% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.93% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-0 @ 1.48% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 26.02%
1-1 @ 11.75%
0-0 @ 6.6% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.24% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.04% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.75%
0-1 @ 10.64% (0.09 0.09)
1-2 @ 9.49% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
0-2 @ 8.6% (0.083 0.08)
1-3 @ 5.11% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 4.63% (0.047 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.82% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-4 @ 2.06% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.87% (0.02 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.14% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 49.21%

Head to Head
Mar 11, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 19
Spartak Moscow
3-2
Fakel
Promes (18', 41'), Martins Pereira (87')
Appaev (43'), Rabei (45+3' pen.)
Aug 27, 2022 3.30pm
Gameweek 7
Fakel
1-4
Spartak Moscow
Dashaev (23')
Akbashev (3'), Maksimov (33'), Dmitriev (37')
Zobnin (51'), Litvinov (57'), Promes (90+4'), Rybus (90+6')
Zobnin (49'), Maximenko (86')