Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 45.17%. A win for CSKA Moscow had a probability of 30.34% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest CSKA Moscow win was 1-2 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.