Russian Premier League | Gameweek 14

Nov 5, 2023 at 1.30pm UK

VEB Arena

CSKA
3 - 2
Nizhny Novgorod

Chalov (37'), Yoldoshev (71' og.), Davila (73')
Zdjelar (30'), Moises (44'), Willyan (65'), Davila (74'), Zabolotny (90+2')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Stotsky (33'), Aleksandrov (40')
Troshechkin (45'), Kakkoev (45+3'), Tolstopyatov (75'), Zhigulev (88')

Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between CSKA Moscow and Nizhny Novgorod.

Form, Standings, Stats

CSKA Moscow

All competitions

Last Game: CSKA 1-0 Krasnodar
Sunday, October 29 at 4.30pm in Russian Premier League

Goals
for

Nizhny Novgorod

All competitions

Last Game: Nizhny Novgorod 1-0 Sochi
Sunday, October 29 at 11am in Russian Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 68.08%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Nizhny Novgorod had a probability of 11.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.74%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.42%), while for a Nizhny Novgorod win it was 0-1 (4.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CSKA Moscow would win this match.

Result
CSKA Moscow	Draw	Nizhny Novgorod
68.08% ( 0.06)	20.11% ( -0.02)	11.81% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 42.41% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.55% (

-0.01)

50.45% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.62% (

-0.01)

72.38% (

0.01)

CSKA Moscow Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.17% (

0.01)

13.83% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.81% (

0.03)

41.19% (

-0.03)

Nizhny Novgorod Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

49.22% (

-0.07)

50.78% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.81% (

-0.05)

85.19% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

CSKA Moscow 68.08%

Nizhny Novgorod 11.81%

Draw 20.11%

CSKA Moscow	Draw	Nizhny Novgorod
1-0 @ 13.89% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 13.74% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.31% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 9.06% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 6.14% 4-0 @ 4.48% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.04% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.08% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.77% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.2% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 2.32% Total : 68.08%	1-1 @ 9.42% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.02% ( 0) 2-2 @ 3.16% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.51% Total : 20.11%	0-1 @ 4.76% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 3.19% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.61% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.25% Total : 11.81%