Lokomotiv Moscow
Russian Premier League | Gameweek 27
May 6, 2024 at 6.30pm UK
RZD Arena

Lokomotiv
1 - 0
Rostov

Miranchuk (5')
Nyamsi (83'), Karpukas (90'), Lantratov (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)

El Askalany (19')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Lokomotiv Moscow and Rostov.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lokomotiv Moscow

All competitions
Last Game: Spartak Moscow 3-2 Lokomotiv
Sunday, April 28 at 2.15pm in Russian Premier League

Rostov

All competitions
Last Game: Rostov 2-1 Orenburg
Monday, April 29 at 5.45pm in Russian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lokomotiv Moscow win with a probability of 45.83%. A win for Rostov had a probability of 27.49% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lokomotiv Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (8.66%). The likeliest Rostov win was 0-1 (8.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lokomotiv Moscow in this match.

Result
Lokomotiv MoscowDrawRostov
45.83% (-0.653 -0.65)26.69% (0.489 0.49)27.49% (0.168 0.17)
Both teams to score 48.86% (-1.304 -1.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.42% (-1.748 -1.75)55.59% (1.753 1.75)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.25% (-1.449 -1.45)76.75% (1.455 1.46)
Lokomotiv Moscow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.8% (-1.066 -1.07)24.21% (1.072 1.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.46% (-1.54 -1.54)58.54% (1.545 1.55)
Rostov Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.47% (-0.79900000000001 -0.8)35.54% (0.806 0.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.7% (-0.84 -0.84)72.3% (0.84400000000001 0.84)
Score Analysis
    Lokomotiv Moscow 45.82%
    Rostov 27.49%
    Draw 26.68%
Lokomotiv MoscowDrawRostov
1-0 @ 12.2% (0.44 0.44)
2-1 @ 8.96% (-0.149 -0.15)
2-0 @ 8.66% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
3-1 @ 4.24% (-0.208 -0.21)
3-0 @ 4.09% (-0.108 -0.11)
3-2 @ 2.19% (-0.158 -0.16)
4-1 @ 1.5% (-0.124 -0.12)
4-0 @ 1.45% (-0.085 -0.09)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 45.82%
1-1 @ 12.62% (0.19 0.19)
0-0 @ 8.6% (0.567 0.57)
2-2 @ 4.63% (-0.181 -0.18)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 26.68%
0-1 @ 8.9% (0.402 0.4)
1-2 @ 6.53% (-0.046 -0.05)
0-2 @ 4.6% (0.111 0.11)
1-3 @ 2.25% (-0.066 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.6% (-0.099 -0.1)
0-3 @ 1.59% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 27.49%

Head to Head
Oct 28, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 13
Rostov
1-0
Lokomotiv
Shchetinin (3')
Melekhin (24')

Barinov (48'), Nenakhov (55')
Mar 4, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 18
Rostov
1-3
Lokomotiv
Komlichenko (87')
Dzyuba (33', 57', 64')
Jul 24, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 2
Lokomotiv
2-2
Rostov
Miranchuk (35' pen.), Maradishvili (90+4')
Miranchuk (36'), Beka Beka (50'), Jedvaj (90+2'), Maradishvili (90+5')
Beka Beka (65')
Komlichenko (4'), Utkin (88')
Poloz (30'), Prokhin (34'), Mironov (65')
Apr 10, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 24
Rostov
4-1
Lokomotiv
Shchetinin (33'), Osipenko (43'), Poloz (61'), Komlichenko (70' pen.)
Osipenko (30')
Isidor (81' pen.)
Isidor (30'), Khapov (38'), Zhivoglyadov (67')
Tiknizyan (36')
Oct 3, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 10
Lokomotiv
1-2
Rostov
Maradishvili (9')
Pablo (72')
Kerk (31' og.), Poloz (88')
Almqvist (68'), Bayramyan (70'), Pesyakov (90+4')
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