Russian Premier League | Gameweek 26

Apr 29, 2024 at 5.45pm UK

Rostov Arena

Rostov
2 - 1
Orenburg

Cesar (81'), Komlichenko (90+6')
Cesar (31'), Langovich (44')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Thompson (12')
Mansilla (41'), Ghorbani (51'), Prokhin (85')

Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Rostov and Orenburg.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rostov

All competitions

Last Game: Ural 0-1 Rostov
Thursday, April 25 at 2pm in Russian Premier League

Goals
for

Orenburg

All competitions

Last Game: Orenburg 1-2 Dynamo Moscow
Wednesday, April 24 at 2pm in Russian Premier League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rostov win with a probability of 51.14%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Orenburg had a probability of 24.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rostov win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.61%), while for a Orenburg win it was 0-1 (7.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rostov would win this match.

Result
Rostov	Draw	Orenburg
51.14% ( -0.38)	24.44% ( 0.03)	24.41% ( 0.35)

Both teams to score 52.97% (

0.28)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.08% (

0.19)

48.92% (

-0.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.99% (

0.17)

71.01% (

-0.17)

Rostov Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.87% (

-0.08)

19.12% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.24% (

-0.13)

50.76% (

0.13)

Orenburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.49% (

0.41)

34.51% (

-0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.77% (

0.44)

71.22% (

-0.43)

Score Analysis

Rostov 51.14%

Orenburg 24.41%

Draw 24.44%

Rostov	Draw	Orenburg
1-0 @ 10.91% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 9.61% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 9.03% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 5.3% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.98% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 2.82% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.19% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.06% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.17% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.08% Total : 51.14%	1-1 @ 11.61% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.6% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.11% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.44%	0-1 @ 7.02% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.18% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 3.74% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.14% Total : 24.41%