Russian Premier League | Gameweek 1

Jul 20, 2024 at 6pm UK

VTB Arena (Moskva)

Dynamo Moscow
3 - 1
Fakel

Lepskiy (3'), Ngamaleu (21'), Gladyshev (28')
Majstorovic (20'), Bessmertny (31'), Gladyshev (57'), Lunev (83'), Ngamaleu (85')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Markov (74')
Kvekveskiri (16'), Bryzgalov (38'), Ilyin (46'), Motpan (64')
Bryzgalov (90+7')

Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Dynamo Moscow and Fakel.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dynamo Moscow

All competitions

Last Game: Krasnodar 1-0 Dynamo Moscow
Saturday, May 25 at 2.30pm in Russian Premier League

Goals
for

Fakel

All competitions

Last Game: Fakel 2-0 Akhmat Grozny
Saturday, May 25 at 2.30pm in Russian Premier League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Moscow win with a probability of 61.69%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Fakel had a probability of 16.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.38%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.36%), while for a Fakel win it was 0-1 (5.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dynamo Moscow would win this match.

Result
Dynamo Moscow	Draw	Fakel
61.69% ( -0.04)	21.79% ( 0.02)	16.53% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 49.16% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.12% (

-0.04)

47.88% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.94% (

-0.04)

70.06% (

0.04)

Dynamo Moscow Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.01% (

-0.03)

15% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.55% (

-0.05)

43.45% (

0.05)

Fakel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.84% (

0.01)

42.17% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.42% (

0.01)

78.58% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Dynamo Moscow 61.68%

Fakel 16.53%

Draw 21.79%

Dynamo Moscow	Draw	Fakel
1-0 @ 11.99% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 11.38% 2-1 @ 9.83% ( -0) 3-0 @ 7.2% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.22% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 3.41% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.95% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.68% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.3% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.27% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.12% ( -0) Other @ 2.33% Total : 61.68%	1-1 @ 10.36% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.32% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.24% Other @ 0.86% Total : 21.79%	0-1 @ 5.46% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.47% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.36% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.29% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.22% ( 0) Other @ 1.73% Total : 16.53%