Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sochi win with a probability of 57.51%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Fakel had a probability of 18.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sochi win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.71%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.4%), while for a Fakel win it was 0-1 (6.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.

Result
Sochi	Draw	Fakel
57.51% ( -0.17)	24.39% ( 0.03)	18.09% ( 0.14)

Both teams to score 44.58% (

0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.38% (

0.08)

55.62% (

-0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.22% (

0.06)

76.78% (

-0.06)

Sochi Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.77% (

-0.03)

19.22% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.08% (

-0.06)

50.92% (

0.06)

Fakel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.19% (

0.21)

44.81% (

-0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.22% (

0.17)

80.78% (

-0.17)

Score Analysis

Sochi 57.51%

Fakel 18.09%

Draw 24.39%

Sochi	Draw	Fakel
1-0 @ 14.2% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 11.71% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.4% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.44% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 5.17% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.65% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.13% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.08% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.73% Total : 57.51%	1-1 @ 11.4% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.61% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 3.77% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.6% Total : 24.39%	0-1 @ 6.91% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 4.58% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 2.78% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.59% Total : 18.09%