Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Moscow win with a probability of 47.04%. A win for Baltika had a probability of 28.26% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.37%) and 0-2 (7.89%). The likeliest Baltika win was 1-0 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dynamo Moscow would win this match.

Result
Baltika	Draw	Dynamo Moscow
28.26% ( -1.1)	24.7% ( 0.1)	47.04% ( 1)

Both teams to score 55.54% (

-1.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.87% (

-1.07)

47.13% (

1.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.64% (

-1.01)

69.36% (

1.01)

Baltika Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.51% (

-1.33)

30.48% (

1.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.3% (

-1.61)

66.7% (

1.62)

Dynamo Moscow Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.9% (

-0.01)

20.1% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.65% (

-0.02)

52.35% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Baltika 28.26%

Dynamo Moscow 47.04%

Draw 24.69%

Baltika	Draw	Dynamo Moscow
1-0 @ 7.28% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 6.94% ( -0.2) 2-0 @ 4.32% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 2.75% ( -0.19) 3-2 @ 2.2% ( -0.15) 3-0 @ 1.71% ( -0.12) Other @ 3.06% Total : 28.26%	1-1 @ 11.67% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 6.13% ( 0.27) 2-2 @ 5.57% ( -0.17) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.69%	0-1 @ 9.83% ( 0.43) 1-2 @ 9.37% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 7.89% ( 0.34) 1-3 @ 5.01% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 4.22% ( 0.18) 2-3 @ 2.98% ( -0.09) 1-4 @ 2.01% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.69% ( 0.07) 2-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.85% Total : 47.04%