Russian Premier League | Gameweek 5

Aug 17, 2024 at 5.30pm UK

Rostov Arena (Rostov-na-Donu)

Rostov
3 - 2
Orenburg

Komlichenko (51', 52'), Cesar (90+4')
Cesar (90+6')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Mansilla (18'), Marin (35')
Perez (23'), Deogracia (24'), Mansilla (32'), Moskvichev (45+1')

Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Rostov and Orenburg.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rostov

All competitions

Last Game: Rostov 1-1 Rubin Kazan
Friday, August 9 at 6.45pm in Russian Premier League

Goals
for

Orenburg

All competitions

Last Game: Orenburg 2-2 Akron
Saturday, August 10 at 3.30pm in Russian Premier League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rostov win with a probability of 52.15%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Orenburg had a probability of 23.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rostov win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%), while for a Orenburg win it was 0-1 (6.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rostov would win this match.

Result
Rostov	Draw	Orenburg
52.15% ( 0.64)	24.32% ( -0.22)	23.53% ( -0.41)

Both teams to score 52.37% (

0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.76% (

0.52)

49.24% (

-0.51)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.7% (

0.46)

71.3% (

-0.46)

Rostov Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.15% (

0.45)

18.85% (

-0.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.69% (

0.75)

50.31% (

-0.74)

Orenburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.53% (

-0.09)

35.47% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.77% (

-0.09)

72.23% (

0.1)

Score Analysis

Rostov 52.14%

Orenburg 23.53%

Draw 24.32%

Rostov	Draw	Orenburg
1-0 @ 11.15% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 9.65% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 9.31% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 5.37% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 5.18% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 2.78% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 2.24% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 2.16% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 1.16% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.16% Total : 52.14%	1-1 @ 11.56% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 6.69% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 5% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.32%	0-1 @ 6.93% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 5.99% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 3.59% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.73% 0-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.97% Total : 23.53%