Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 70.39%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Rostov had a probability of 11.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.67%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.69%), while for a Rostov win it was 0-1 (3.98%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zenit St Petersburg would win this match.