Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 61.56%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Rostov had a probability of 16.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.12%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.29%), while for a Rostov win it was 0-1 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zenit St Petersburg would win this match.