Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fakel win with a probability of 38.93%. A draw had a probability of 30.9% and a win for Rubin Kazan had a probability of 30.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fakel win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.95%) and 2-1 (7.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.81%), while for a Rubin Kazan win it was 0-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood.