Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 52.2%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Rubin Kazan had a probability of 22.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.05%) and 1-2 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.98%), while for a Rubin Kazan win it was 1-0 (7.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.