Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 45.36%. A win for Zenit St Petersburg had a probability of 30.73% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.26%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Zenit St Petersburg win was 1-2 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result
CSKA Moscow	Draw	Zenit St Petersburg
45.36% ( -0.01)	23.9% ( 0)	30.73% ( 0)

Both teams to score 59.86% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.84% (

-0.02)

42.15% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.44% (

-0.02)

64.55% (

0.02)

CSKA Moscow Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.19% (

-0.01)

18.8% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.76% (

-0.02)

50.23% (

0.02)

Zenit St Petersburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.72% (

-0.01)

26.27% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.6% (

-0.01)

61.39% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

CSKA Moscow 45.36%

Zenit St Petersburg 30.73%

Draw 23.9%

CSKA Moscow	Draw	Zenit St Petersburg
2-1 @ 9.22% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.26% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.9% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.14% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.84% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.43% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.15% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.61% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.43% ( -0) Other @ 3.39% Total : 45.36%	1-1 @ 11.03% 2-2 @ 6.16% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.94% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.53% ( -0) Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.9%	1-2 @ 7.38% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.6% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.41% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.29% 2-3 @ 2.75% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.97% 1-4 @ 1.1% 2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 2.33% Total : 30.73%