Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 62.88%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Khimki had a probability of 15.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.14%) and 1-2 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.32%), while for a Khimki win it was 1-0 (5.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.