Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Khimki win with a probability of 44.08%. A win for Rubin Kazan had a probability of 29.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Khimki win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.95%) and 0-2 (7.94%). The likeliest Rubin Kazan win was 1-0 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Khimki would win this match.