Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 60.01%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Akron Tolyatti had a probability of 17.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.88%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.55%), while for an Akron Tolyatti win it was 0-1 (5.65%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CSKA Moscow would win this match.