Lokomotiv Moscow
Russian Premier League | Gameweek 1
Jul 20, 2024 at 1pm UK
RZD Arena

Lokomotiv
3 - 2
Akron

Pinyaev (29'), Batrakov (38'), Vorobyev (79')
Barinov (45+2'), Batrakov (86')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Bakaev (36'), Eldarushev (40')
Danilin (45+2'), Palienko (55'), Dimoski (63')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Lokomotiv Moscow and Akron Tolyatti.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lokomotiv Moscow

All competitions
Last Game: Baltika 1-3 Lokomotiv
Saturday, May 25 at 2.30pm in Russian Premier League

Akron Tolyatti

All competitions
Last Game: Antalyaspor 2-3 Akron
Sunday, July 14 at 4pm in Club Friendlies 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lokomotiv Moscow win with a probability of 55.52%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Akron Tolyatti had a probability of 21.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lokomotiv Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 2-0 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%), while for an Akron Tolyatti win it was 0-1 (5.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lokomotiv Moscow would win this match.

Result
Lokomotiv MoscowDrawAkron Tolyatti
55.52% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)22.86% (0.035 0.04)21.62% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
Both teams to score 54.6% (-0.049000000000007 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.9% (-0.102 -0.1)45.1% (0.10299999999999 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.56% (-0.098000000000006 -0.1)67.45% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Lokomotiv Moscow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.91% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)16.1% (0.065000000000001 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.5% (-0.12 -0.12)45.5% (0.121 0.12)
Akron Tolyatti Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.07% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)34.93% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.33% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)71.67% (0.012 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Lokomotiv Moscow 55.52%
    Akron Tolyatti 21.62%
    Draw 22.86%
Lokomotiv MoscowDrawAkron Tolyatti
1-0 @ 10.27% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.87% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 9.38%
3-1 @ 6.01% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 5.71% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.16% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.74% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.61% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.44% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
5-0 @ 0.95% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 55.52%
1-1 @ 10.8% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.62% (0.025 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.19% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-3 @ 1.11% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 22.86%
0-1 @ 5.91% (0.024 0.02)
1-2 @ 5.68% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.11% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.99% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.82% (-0.002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.09% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 21.62%