Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 73.54%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Nizhny Novgorod had a probability of 9.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.88%) and 0-3 (10.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.06%), while for a Nizhny Novgorod win it was 1-0 (3.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zenit St Petersburg would win this match.