Russian Premier League | Gameweek 8
Sep 15, 2024 at 5pm UK
Anzhi-Arena

Makhachkala
1 - 1
Spartak Moscow

Litvinov (36' og.)
Sundukov (51'), Kagermazov (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Ugalde (20')
Bongonda (69'), Babic (75')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Dynamo Makhachkala and Spartak Moscow.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dynamo Makhachkala

All competitions
Last Game: Krylia Sovetov 0-1 Makhachkala
Sunday, September 1 at 3.30pm in Russian Premier League

Spartak Moscow

All competitions
Last Game: Spartak Moscow 1-0 Rubin Kazan
Saturday, August 31 at 5.45pm in Russian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 53.26%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Dynamo Makhachkala had a probability of 20.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.33%) and 1-2 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.12%), while for a Dynamo Makhachkala win it was 1-0 (8.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result
Dynamo MakhachkalaDrawSpartak Moscow
20.05% (0.254 0.25)26.68% (0.02 0.02)53.26% (-0.275 -0.27)
Both teams to score 41.63% (0.281 0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.84% (0.182 0.18)61.15% (-0.182 -0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.89% (0.137 0.14)81.11% (-0.137 -0.14)
Dynamo Makhachkala Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.21% (0.395 0.39)45.79% (-0.396 -0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.45% (0.309 0.31)81.55% (-0.309 -0.31)
Spartak Moscow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.79% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)23.21% (0.041999999999998 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.89% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)57.11% (0.059000000000005 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Dynamo Makhachkala 20.05%
    Spartak Moscow 53.26%
    Draw 26.67%
Dynamo MakhachkalaDrawSpartak Moscow
1-0 @ 8.3% (0.035 0.04)
2-1 @ 4.74% (0.066 0.07)
2-0 @ 3.24% (0.05 0.05)
3-1 @ 1.23% (0.03 0.03)
3-2 @ 0.9% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 1.64%
Total : 20.05%
1-1 @ 12.12% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 10.62% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-2 @ 3.46% (0.045 0.04)
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 26.67%
0-1 @ 15.52% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-2 @ 11.33% (-0.11 -0.11)
1-2 @ 8.86% (0.016 0.02)
0-3 @ 5.52% (-0.058 -0.06)
1-3 @ 4.31% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-4 @ 2.02% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.68% (0.02 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.57% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 53.26%