Russian Premier League | Gameweek 12
Oct 19, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Arena Khimki
Lokomotiv Moscow

Khimki
2 - 0
Lokomotiv

Bakaev (54', 60')
Mirzov (36'), Fernandez (47')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Barinov (32'), Samoshnikov (63')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Khimki and Lokomotiv Moscow.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Krasnodar 4-0 Khimki
Sunday, October 6 at 5pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Lokomotiv 1-0 Krylia Sovetov
Sunday, October 6 at 2.30pm in Russian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lokomotiv Moscow win with a probability of 64.34%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Khimki had a probability of 16.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lokomotiv Moscow win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.39%) and 0-1 (8.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.77%), while for a Khimki win it was 2-1 (4.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.

Result
KhimkiDrawLokomotiv Moscow
16.47% (0.112 0.11)19.19% (0.039000000000001 0.04)64.34% (-0.148 -0.15)
Both teams to score 57.93% (0.112 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.75% (0.026000000000003 0.03)36.25% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.63% (0.027999999999999 0.03)58.37% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Khimki Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.84% (0.14700000000001 0.15)35.16% (-0.146 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.09% (0.153 0.15)71.91% (-0.15100000000001 -0.15)
Lokomotiv Moscow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.35% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)10.65% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.5% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)34.5% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Khimki 16.47%
    Lokomotiv Moscow 64.34%
    Draw 19.19%
KhimkiDrawLokomotiv Moscow
2-1 @ 4.58% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
1-0 @ 3.91% (0.011 0.01)
2-0 @ 2.05% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.79% (0.015 0.02)
3-1 @ 1.6% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 16.47%
1-1 @ 8.77% (0.013 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.13% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 3.74% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.34% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 19.19%
1-2 @ 9.82% (0.0010000000000012 0)
0-2 @ 9.39% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-1 @ 8.39% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
1-3 @ 7.33% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 7.01% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-4 @ 4.1% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
0-4 @ 3.93% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-3 @ 3.83% (0.011 0.01)
2-4 @ 2.14% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-5 @ 1.84% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
0-5 @ 1.76% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-5 @ 0.96% (0.001 0)
Other @ 3.85%
Total : 64.34%

Head to Head
Apr 30, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 25
Lokomotiv
5-1
Khimki
Miranchuk (27' pen.), Dzyuba (52', 70'), Ignatyev (73'), Isidor (76')
Rudenko (60')
Aug 20, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 6
Khimki
0-3
Lokomotiv

Gbane (17'), Volkov (29'), Bozhenov (45+2'), Mirzov (45+6'), Dolgov (61')
Kerk (22'), Kamano (34'), Maradishvili (90+1')
Karpukas (11'), Mampasi (40'), Barinov (51')
Mampasi (45+1')
Mar 6, 2022 11am
Gameweek 20
Lokomotiv
3-2
Khimki
Kerk (8'), Isidor (21'), Kuchta (80')
Maradishvili (18'), Isidor (48')
Lamkel Ze (6', 72')
Viana (15'), Zhirkov (29'), Bozhenov (35'), Yuran (43'), Lamkel Ze (80'), Volkov (83')
Viana (42')
Sep 25, 2021 12pm
Gameweek 9
Khimki
0-0
Lokomotiv
Ademi (33'), Sokolov (65'), Glushakov (90+3')
Barinov (25')
Marinato (53')
Dec 17, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 19
Khimki
3-2
Lokomotiv
Koryan (26' pen.), Kukharchuk (85'), Dolgov (90+3')
Koryan (44')
Krychowiak (15'), Cerqueira (37')
Nikolic (30'), Kulikov (57'), Rajkovic (83')