Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Akron Tolyatti win with a probability of 41.05%. A win for Khimki had a probability of 34.08% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Akron Tolyatti win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.61%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest Khimki win was 1-2 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Akron Tolyatti would win this match.